EU Long-Term Interest Rates, September 2021

Nov 3, 2021
Long-Term Interest Rates in EU States

The chart above shows the ten-year interest rate in each EU state as of September 2021, the change from the previous month, and the rate one year prior.  Seven states have a negative interest rate (down from 11 last month and down from 13 last year).

Treasury Rate Movements, October 2021

Nov 2, 2021
US treasury rates by maturity

The one-month, 20-year, and 30-year rates fell while all other rates rose in October.  The yield curve narrowed from the previous month thus ending its widening streak at two months.  The one-month bill did not maintain the lowest rate throughout the month and it shared the lowest rate on multiple occasions.  There were moves upwards on short-term rates thus increasing the risk of an inversion brought upon by rising short-term rates.  Such an inversion, if it were to happen would be a strong indicator for an upcoming recession.

EU Long-Term Interest Rates, August 2021

Oct 14, 2021
Long-Term Interest Rates in EU States

The chart above shows the ten-year interest rate in each EU state as of August 2021, the change from the previous month, and the rate one year prior.  Eleven states have a negative interest rate (up from 9 last month and down from 13 last year).

Treasury Rate Movements, September 2021

Oct 13, 2021
US treasury rates by maturity

The six-month rate fell, the three-month rate stayed the same, while all other rates rose in September.  The yield curve widened from the previous month thus extending its widening streak to two months.  The one-month bill did not maintain the lowest rate throughout the month and it shared the lowest rate on multiple occasions.  There were moves upwards on short-term rates thus increasing the risk of an inversion brought upon by rising short-term rates.  Such an inversion, if it were to happen would be a strong indicator for an upcoming recession.

EU Long-Term Interest Rates, July 2021

Sep 3, 2021
Long-Term Interest Rates in EU States

The chart above shows the ten-year interest rate in each EU state as of July 2021, the change from the previous month, and the rate one year prior.  Nine states have a negative interest rate (up from 4 last month and down from 12 last year).

Treasury Rate Movements, August 2021

Sep 2, 2021
US treasury rates by maturity

The one-month and three-month rates fell, the one-year rate stayed the same, while all other rates rose in August.  The yield curve widened from the previous month thus ending its narrowing streak of four months.  The one-month bill maintained the lowest rate throughout the month but it shared the lowest rate on multiple occasions.  There were no moves upwards on short-term rates thus decreasing the risk of an inversion brought upon by rising short-term rates.  Such an inversion, if it were to happen would be a strong indicator for an upcoming recession.

EU Long-Term Interest Rates, June 2021

Aug 6, 2021
Long-Term Interest Rates in EU States

The chart above shows the ten-year interest rate in each EU state as of June 2021, the change from the previous month, and the rate one year prior.  Four states have a negative interest rate (same as 4 last month and down from 8 last year).

Treasury Rate Movements, July 2021

Aug 5, 2021
US treasury rates by maturity

The three-month rate rose, the one-month and one-year rates stayed the same, while all other rates fell in July.  The yield curve narrowed from the previous month thus extending its narrowing streak to four months.  The one-month bill did not maintain the lowest rate throughout the month and it shared the lowest rate on multiple occasions.  There were moves upwards on short-term rates thus increasing the risk of an inversion brought upon by rising short-term rates.  Such an inversion, if it were to happen would be a strong indicator for an upcoming recession.

EU Long-Term Interest Rates, May 2021

Jul 9, 2021
Long-Term Interest Rates in EU States

The chart above shows the ten-year interest rate in each EU state as of May 2021, the change from the previous month, and the rate one year prior.  Four states have a negative interest rate (down from 8 last month and down from 8 last year).

Treasury Rate Movements, June 2021

Jul 8, 2021
US treasury rates by maturity

The seven-year, ten-year, 20-year, and 30-year rates fell, while all other rates rose in June.  The yield curve narrowed from the previous month thus extending its narrowing streak to three months.  The one-month bill did not maintain the lowest rate throughout the month and it shared the lowest rate on multiple occasions.  There were moves upwards on short-term rates thus increasing the risk of an inversion brought upon by rising short-term rates.  Such an inversion, if it were to happen would be a strong indicator for an upcoming recession.


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