EU Long-Term Interest Rates, February 2020

Apr 7, 2020
Long-Term Interest Rates in EU States

The chart above shows the ten-year interest rate in each EU state as of February 2020, the change from the previous month, and the rate one year prior.  Eleven states have a negative interest rate (up from eight last month and up from zero last year).

Treasury Rate Movements, March 2020

Apr 6, 2020
US treasury rates by maturity

All rates fell in March.  The yield curve widened from the previous month thus extending its widening streak to two months.  The one-month bill did not maintain the lowest rate throughout the month.  All rates fell thus decreasing the risk of an inversion brought upon by rising short-term rates.  Such an inversion, if it were to happen would be a strong indicator for an upcoming recession.

EU Long-Term Interest Rates, January 2020

Mar 5, 2020
Long-Term Interest Rates in EU States

The chart above shows the ten-year interest rate in each EU state as of January 2020, the change from the previous month, and the rate one year prior.  Eight states have a negative interest rate (up from six last month and up from zero last year).

Treasury Rate Movements, February 2020

Mar 4, 2020
US treasury rates by maturity

All rates fell in February.  The yield curve widened from the previous month thus ending its narrowing streak of one month.  The one-month bill did not maintain the lowest rate at any point during the month.  All rates fell thus decreasing the risk of an inversion brought upon by rising short-term rates.  Such an inversion, if it were to happen would be a strong indicator for an upcoming recession.

EU Long-Term Interest Rates, December 2019

Feb 6, 2020
Long-Term Interest Rates in EU States

The chart above shows the ten-year interest rate in each EU state as of December 2019, the change from the previous month, and the rate one year prior.  Six states have a negative interest rate (down from nine last month and up from zero last year).

Treasury Rate Movements, January 2020

Feb 5, 2020
US treasury rates by maturity

The one-month rate fell in January, the three-month remained unchanged, while all other rates rose.  The yield curve narrowed from the previous month thus ending its widening streak of one month.  The one-month bill did not maintain the lowest rate throughout the month.  Long-term rates fell while short-term rates rose thus increasing the risk of an inversion brought upon by rising short-term rates.  Such an inversion, if it were to happen would be a strong indicator for an upcoming recession.

EU Long-Term Interest Rates, November 2019

Jan 9, 2020
Long-Term Interest Rates in EU States

The chart above shows the ten-year interest rate in each EU state as of November 2019, the change from the previous month, and the rate one year prior.  Nine states have a negative interest rate (down from 11 last month and up from zero last year).

Treasury Rate Movements, December 2019

Jan 8, 2020
US treasury rates by maturity

The one, three, and six-month, and the one and two year rates fell in December while all other rates rose.  The yield curve widened from the previous month thus ending its narrowing streak of one month.  The one-month bill did not maintain the lowest rate throughout the month.  Long-term rates rose while short-term rates dropped thus decreasing the risk of an inversion brought upon by rising short-term rates.  Such an inversion, if it were to happen would be a strong indicator for an upcoming recession.

A Look Back at Treasuries in 2019

Jan 7, 2020
US Treasury Rates by Maturity

All rates trended downwards following their dramatic turn upwards the previous year after being stuck at zero for several years.  The yield curve widened over the course of the year.  A narrowing from the short-term is a warning sign for an inversion that indicates recession.

EU Long-Term Interest Rates, October 2019

Dec 11, 2019
Long-Term Interest Rates in EU States

The chart above shows the ten-year interest rate in each EU state as of October 2019, the change from the previous month, and the rate one year prior.  Eleven states have a negative interest rate (down from 13 last month and up from zero last year).


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