EU Long-Term Interest Rates, December 2019

Feb 6, 2020
Long-Term Interest Rates in EU States

The chart above shows the ten-year interest rate in each EU state as of December 2019, the change from the previous month, and the rate one year prior.  Six states have a negative interest rate (down from nine last month and up from zero last year).

Treasury Rate Movements, January 2020

Feb 5, 2020
US treasury rates by maturity

The one-month rate fell in January, the three-month remained unchanged, while all other rates rose.  The yield curve narrowed from the previous month thus ending its widening streak of one month.  The one-month bill did not maintain the lowest rate throughout the month.  Long-term rates fell while short-term rates rose thus increasing the risk of an inversion brought upon by rising short-term rates.  Such an inversion, if it were to happen would be a strong indicator for an upcoming recession.

EU Long-Term Interest Rates, November 2019

Jan 9, 2020
Long-Term Interest Rates in EU States

The chart above shows the ten-year interest rate in each EU state as of November 2019, the change from the previous month, and the rate one year prior.  Nine states have a negative interest rate (down from 11 last month and up from zero last year).

Treasury Rate Movements, December 2019

Jan 8, 2020
US treasury rates by maturity

The one, three, and six-month, and the one and two year rates fell in December while all other rates rose.  The yield curve widened from the previous month thus ending its narrowing streak of one month.  The one-month bill did not maintain the lowest rate throughout the month.  Long-term rates rose while short-term rates dropped thus decreasing the risk of an inversion brought upon by rising short-term rates.  Such an inversion, if it were to happen would be a strong indicator for an upcoming recession.

A Look Back at Treasuries in 2019

Jan 7, 2020
US Treasury Rates by Maturity

All rates trended downwards following their dramatic turn upwards the previous year after being stuck at zero for several years.  The yield curve widened over the course of the year.  A narrowing from the short-term is a warning sign for an inversion that indicates recession.

EU Long-Term Interest Rates, October 2019

Dec 11, 2019
Long-Term Interest Rates in EU States

The chart above shows the ten-year interest rate in each EU state as of October 2019, the change from the previous month, and the rate one year prior.  Eleven states have a negative interest rate (down from 13 last month and up from zero last year).

Treasury Rate Movements, November 2019

Dec 5, 2019
US treasury rates by maturity

All rates rose rose in November.  The yield curve narrowed from the previous month thus ending its widening streak at one month.  The one-month bill held the lowest rate three times and shared the lowest rate one time in the month.  All rates rose at an even pace thus decreasing the risk of an inversion brought upon by rising short-term rates.  Such an inversion is a strong indicator for an upcoming recession.

EU Long-Term Interest Rates, September 2019

Nov 5, 2019
Long-Term Interest Rates in EU States

The chart above shows the ten-year interest rate in each EU state as of September 2019, the change from the previous month, and the rate one year prior.  Thirteen states have a negative interest rate (same as 13 last month and up from zero last year).

Treasury Rate Movements, October 2019

Nov 4, 2019
US treasury rates by maturity

All bill and note rates fell except for the ten-year note which along with all bond rates rose in October.  The yield curve widened from the previous month thus ending its narrowing streak at three months.  The one-month bill did not maintain the lowest rate at any point in the month.  Long-term rates rose while short-term rates dropped thus decreasing the risk of an inversion brought upon by rising short-term rates.  Such an inversion is a strong indicator for an upcoming recession.

EU Long-Term Interest Rates, August 2019

Oct 3, 2019
Long-Term Interest Rates in EU States

The chart above shows the ten-year interest rate in each EU state as of August 2019, the change from the previous month, and the rate one year prior.  Thirteen states have a negative interest rate (up from nine last month and zero last year).


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