EU Long-Term Interest Rates, December 2020

Feb 3, 2021
Long-Term Interest Rates in EU States

The chart above shows the ten-year interest rate in each EU state as of December 2020, the change from the previous month, and the rate one year prior.  Twelve states have a negative interest rate (same as 12 last month and up from six last year).

Treasury Rate Movements, January 2021

Feb 2, 2021
US treasury rates by maturity

The one-month, three-month, six-month, and two-year rates fell, the one-year rate stayed the same, and all other rates rose in January.  The yield curve widened from the previous month thus extending its widening streak to two months.  The one-month bill did not maintain the lowest rate throughout the month.  There were no moves upwards on short-term rates thus decreasing the risk of an inversion brought upon by rising short-term rates.  Such an inversion, if it were to happen would be a strong indicator for an upcoming recession.

EU Long-Term Interest Rates, November 2020

Jan 11, 2021
Long-Term Interest Rates in EU States

The chart above shows the ten-year interest rate in each EU state as of November 2020, the change from the previous month, and the rate one year prior.  Twelve states have a negative interest rate (down from 13 last month and up from nine last year).

A Look Back at Treasuries in 2020

Jan 8, 2021
US Treasury Rates by Maturity

All rates trended downwards for the second year in a row.  The yield curve widened over the course of the year.  A narrowing from the short-term is a warning sign for an inversion that indicates recession.

Treasury Rate Movements, December 2020

Jan 7, 2021
US treasury rates by maturity

The one-year, two-year, and three-year rates fell, the one-month, six-month, and five-year rates stayed the same, and all other rates rose in December.  The yield curve widened from the previous month thus ending its narrowing streak of one month.  The one-month bill did not maintain the lowest rate throughout the month.  There were no moves upwards on short-term rates thus decreasing the risk of an inversion brought upon by rising short-term rates.  Such an inversion, if it were to happen would be a strong indicator for an upcoming recession.

EU Long-Term Interest Rates, October 2020

Dec 8, 2020
Long-Term Interest Rates in EU States

The chart above shows the ten-year interest rate in each EU state as of October 2020, the change from the previous month, and the rate one year prior.  Thirteen states have a negative interest rate (same as 13 last month and up from 11 last year).

Treasury Rate Movements, November 2020

Dec 7, 2020
US treasury rates by maturity

The two-year rate rose, the one-month and three-year rates stayed the same, and all other rates fell in November.  The yield curve narrowed from the previous month thus ending its widening streak of one month.  The one-month bill did not maintain the lowest rate throughout the month.  There were no moves upwards on short-term rates thus decreasing the risk of an inversion brought upon by rising short-term rates.  Such an inversion, if it were to happen would be a strong indicator for an upcoming recession.

EU Long-Term Interest Rates, September 2020

Nov 10, 2020
Long-Term Interest Rates in EU States

The chart above shows the ten-year interest rate in each EU state as of September 2020, the change from the previous month, and the rate one year prior.  Thirteen states have a negative interest rate (same as 13 last month and same as 13 last year).

Treasury Rate Movements, October 2020

Nov 9, 2020
US treasury rates by maturity

The three-month rate fell, the one-month and six-month rates stayed the same, and all other rates rose in October.  The yield curve widened from the previous month thus ending its narrowing streak of one month.  The one-month bill did not maintain the lowest rate throughout the month and shared it with the three-month on several occasions.  There were no moves upwards on short-term rates thus decreasing the risk of an inversion brought upon by rising short-term rates.  Such an inversion, if it were to happen would be a strong indicator for an upcoming recession.

EU Long-Term Interest Rates, August 2020

Oct 5, 2020
Long-Term Interest Rates in EU States

The chart above shows the ten-year interest rate in each EU state as of August 2020, the change from the previous month, and the rate one year prior.  Thirteen states have a negative interest rate (up from 12 last month and same as 13 last year).


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