EU Long-Term Interest Rates, March 2021

May 6, 2021
Long-Term Interest Rates in EU States

The chart above shows the ten-year interest rate in each EU state as of March 2021, the change from the previous month, and the rate one year prior.  Ten states have a negative interest rate (down from 11 last month and same as 10 last year).

Treasury Rate Movements, April 2021

May 5, 2021
US treasury rates by maturity

The one-month, two-year, and three-year rates remained the same, while all other rates fell in April.  The yield curve narrowed from the previous month thus ending its widening streak of four months.  The one-month bill did not maintain the lowest rate throughout the month and it shared the lowest rate on multiple occasions.  There were no moves upwards on short-term rates thus decreasing the risk of an inversion brought upon by rising short-term rates.  Such an inversion, if it were to happen would be a strong indicator for an upcoming recession.

EU Long-Term Interest Rates, February 2021

Apr 8, 2021
Long-Term Interest Rates in EU States

The chart above shows the ten-year interest rate in each EU state as of February 2021, the change from the previous month, and the rate one year prior.  Eleven states have a negative interest rate (down from 12 last month and same as 11 last year).

Treasury Rate Movements, March 2021

Apr 7, 2021
US treasury rates by maturity

The one-month, three-month, and one-year rates fell, the six-month remained the same, while all other rates rose in March.  The yield curve widened from the previous month thus extending its widening streak to four months.  The one-month bill did not maintain the lowest rate throughout the month and it shared the lowest rate on multiple occasions.  There were no moves upwards on short-term rates thus decreasing the risk of an inversion brought upon by rising short-term rates.  Such an inversion, if it were to happen would be a strong indicator for an upcoming recession.

EU Long-Term Interest Rates, January 2021

Mar 8, 2021
Long-Term Interest Rates in EU States

The chart above shows the ten-year interest rate in each EU state as of January 2021, the change from the previous month, and the rate one year prior.  Twelve states have a negative interest rate (same as 12 last month and up from eight last year).

Treasury Rate Movements, February 2021

Mar 5, 2021
US treasury rates by maturity

The one-month, three-month, six-month, and one-year rates fell, while all other rates rose in February.  The yield curve widened from the previous month thus extending its widening streak to three months.  The one-month bill maintained the lowest rate throughout the month although it shared the lowest rate on multiple occasions.  There were no moves upwards on short-term rates thus decreasing the risk of an inversion brought upon by rising short-term rates.  Such an inversion, if it were to happen would be a strong indicator for an upcoming recession.

EU Long-Term Interest Rates, December 2020

Feb 3, 2021
Long-Term Interest Rates in EU States

The chart above shows the ten-year interest rate in each EU state as of December 2020, the change from the previous month, and the rate one year prior.  Twelve states have a negative interest rate (same as 12 last month and up from six last year).

Treasury Rate Movements, January 2021

Feb 2, 2021
US treasury rates by maturity

The one-month, three-month, six-month, and two-year rates fell, the one-year rate stayed the same, and all other rates rose in January.  The yield curve widened from the previous month thus extending its widening streak to two months.  The one-month bill did not maintain the lowest rate throughout the month.  There were no moves upwards on short-term rates thus decreasing the risk of an inversion brought upon by rising short-term rates.  Such an inversion, if it were to happen would be a strong indicator for an upcoming recession.

EU Long-Term Interest Rates, November 2020

Jan 11, 2021
Long-Term Interest Rates in EU States

The chart above shows the ten-year interest rate in each EU state as of November 2020, the change from the previous month, and the rate one year prior.  Twelve states have a negative interest rate (down from 13 last month and up from nine last year).

A Look Back at Treasuries in 2020

Jan 8, 2021
US Treasury Rates by Maturity

All rates trended downwards for the second year in a row.  The yield curve widened over the course of the year.  A narrowing from the short-term is a warning sign for an inversion that indicates recession.


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