Long-Term Per Capita GDP by EU and US State, Fourth Quarter 2020

May 27, 2021
Long-Term Per Capita Gross Domestic Product in EU and US States

The chart above shows the per capita annualized nominal gross domestic product (GDP) in each EU and US state as of the fourth quarter of 2020 in dollars, the change from five years ago, and the GDP ten years prior.  There is one state that has a lower per capita GDP now than five years ago and 11 that have a lower per capita GDP now than ten years ago.

Findings

  • The difference between the state with the largest per capita GDP, Luxembourg, and the state with the smallest, Bulgaria, is $146,669.45 (up from $105,946.82 five years ago and up from $111,619.31 ten years ago).  Luxembourg and Bulgaria had the largest and smallest per capita GDP respectively both five and ten years ago.
  • Luxembourg has 15.55 times the per capita GDP that Bulgaria does.  The ratio of largest per capita GDP to smallest per capita GDP was down from 16.35 five years ago and up from 14.86 ten years ago.
  • The median per capita GDP in the 28 EU states is $29,706.96 (up from $24,565.49 five years ago and down from $31,603.26 ten years ago) and the mean $39,907.13 (up from $31,487.49 five years ago and up from $36,372.25 ten years ago).
  • The median per capita GDP in the 50 US states is $63,512.13 (up from $54,443.40 five years ago and up from $46,104.00 ten years ago) and the mean $64,747.78 (up from $56,380.15 five years ago and up from $47,875.06 ten years ago).
  • The median per capita GDP in the 78 EU and US states is $58,535.66 (up from $49,214.30 five years ago and up from $44,232.85 ten years ago) and the mean $55,830.62 (up from $47,444.33 five years ago and up from $43,745.85 ten years ago).
  • Of the 78 states, 77 (27 EU, 50 US) had a per capita GDP rise in current dollars over the past five years while 1 (1 EU, 0 US) had a per capita GDP drop.
  • Of the 78 states, 67 (19 EU, 48 US) had a per capita GDP rise in current dollars over the past ten years while 11 (9 EU, 2 US) had a per capita GDP drop.
  • Some EU gains and drops in per capita GDP are attributed to currency rate fluctuations.

Caveats

  • GDP data is from the fourth quarter of 2020, 2015, and 2010.
  • US census data is from 2000 and 2010, EU census data is from 2001 and 2011.
  • The data is seasonally adjusted in current dollars.
  • Euros are converted to dollars at an average exchange rate of 1.19 for the fourth quarter of 2020, 1.09 for the fourth quarter of 2015, and 1.48 for the fourth quarter of 2010 according to historic rates listed at the Federal Reserve (see source link below).
  • US data comes in an annualized format which the EU does not, thus EU data is annualized by multiplying the quarterly figure by four.
  • US growth rates may differ from those provided by the Bureau of Economic Analysis as the BEA's growth rates are based on chained dollars in conjunction with the chain index or the quality index for real GDP.  The growth rates listed here are based on nominal GDP.
  • All figures are rounded to the nearest hundredth.

Details

In absolute terms, the United Kingdom had the worst performance over the past five years with a drop of $736.61.  Luxembourg had the best performance with a gain of $43,902.81.  Over the past ten years, Greece had the worst performance with a drop of $11,393.52 while Ireland had the best performance with a gain of $43,200.35.

In relative terms, the United Kingdom had the worst performance over the past five years with a 1.59% drop in per capita GDP while Romania had the best performance with a 53.58% rise in per capita GDP.  Over the past ten years, Greece had the worst performance with a 39.24% drop in per capita GDP while Ireland had the best performance with a 78.88% rise in per capita GDP.

There was 1 state (1 EU, 0 US) with a per capita GDP of over $80,000 ten years ago, 1 states (1 EU, 0 US) five years ago, and 9 states (2 EU, 7 US) now.  On the flip side, there were 52 states (21 EU, 31 US) with a GDP of less than $50,000 ten years ago, 40 states (24 EU, 16 US) five years ago, and 25 states (19 EU, 6 US) now.

Utah (from 25th to 12th highest per capita GDP) and Idaho (from 54th to 41st) rose 13 spots in the past five years, while Wyoming (from 11th to 27th) fell 16 spots.  Over the past ten years, Utah (from 42nd to 12th) rose 30 spots, while Finland (from 18th to 49th) fell 31 spots.

Nine EU states surpassed 30 US states over the past five years.  However, four EU states were surpassed by ten states in the same time period.  Over the past ten years, two EU states surpassed ten US states while 12 EU states were surpassed by 47 states.

Sources

Eurostat.  2021.  "GDP and Main Components."  Accessed May 10, 2021.  https://appsso.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/nui/show.do?query=BOOKMARK_DS-406779_QID_-C88959A_UID_-3F171EB0&layout=TIME,C,X,0;GEO,L,Y,0;UNIT,L,Z,0;S_ADJ,L,Z,1;NA_ITEM,L,Z,2;INDICATORS,C,Z,3;&zSelection=DS-406779UNIT,CP_MEUR;DS-406779INDICATORS,OBS_FLAG;DS-406779NA_ITEM,B1GQ;DS-406779S_ADJ,SCA;&rankName1=UNIT_1_2_-1_2&rankName2=INDICATORS_1_2_-1_2&rankName3=NA-ITEM_1_2_-1_2&rankName4=S-ADJ_1_2_-1_2&rankName5=TIME_1_0_0_0&rankName6=GEO_1_2_0_1&sortC=ASC_-1_FIRST&rStp=&cStp=&rDCh=&cDCh=&rDM=true&cDM=true&footnes=false&empty=false&wai=false&time_mode=NONE&time_most_recent=false&lang=EN&cfo=%23%23%23%2C%23%23%23.%23%23%23.

Eurostat.  2017.  "Population change - Demographic balance and crude rates at national level."  Accessed December 11, 2017.  http://appsso.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/nui/show.do?query=BOOKMARK_DS-054722_QID_690C8C0A_UID_-3F171EB0&layout=TIME,C,X,0;GEO,L,Y,0;INDIC_DE,L,Z,0;INDICATORS,C,Z,1;&zSelection=DS-054722INDICATORS,OBS_FLAG;DS-054722INDIC_DE,JAN;&rankName1=INDICATORS_1_2_-1_2&rankName2=INDIC-DE_1_2_-1_2&rankName3=TIME_1_0_0_0&rankName4=GEO_1_2_0_1&sortC=ASC_-1_FIRST&rStp=&cStp=&rDCh=&cDCh=&rDM=true&cDM=true&footnes=false&empty=false&wai=false&time_mode=NONE&time_most_recent=false&lang=EN&cfo=%23%23%23%2C%23%23%23.%23%23%23.

Federal Reserve.  2021.  "Foreign Exchange Rates."  Accessed March 31, 2021.  https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/g5/.

Office for National Statistics.  2021.  "Gross Domestic Product at market prices: Current price: Seasonally adjusted £m - Office for National Statistics."  Accessed March 31, 2021.  https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/timeseries/ybha/ukea.

US Bureau of Economic Analysis.  2021.  "GDP by State."  Accessed May 7, 2021.  https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gdp-state.

United States Census Bureau.  September 2012.  "United States Summary: 2010: Population and Housing Unit Counts."  Accessed January 23, 2018.  https://www.census.gov/prod/cen2010/cph-2-1.pdf.