Long-Term EU GDP Growth Rate by Region, Fourth Quarter 2019

Jun 30, 2020
Long-Term Gross Domestic Product Growth Rate in EU Regions

The chart above shows the annualized nominal gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate in each EU region over the past five years as of the fourth quarter of 2019 and the growth rate over the past ten years.  The Western and Northern EU had a slower growth rate over the past five years than they had over the past ten years.

Findings

  • The difference between the region with the largest annualized five-year growth rate, the Eastern EU, and the region with the smallest, the Northern EU, is 4.61 percentage points.
  • The difference between the region with the largest annualized ten-year growth rate, the Eastern EU, and the region with the smallest, the Southern EU, is 4.48 percentage points.
  • Two regions' economies grew faster over the past five years than they did over the past ten years.  Two regions' economies saw their economies grow slower over the past five years than they did over the past ten years.

Caveats

  • Data is from the fourth quarters of 2009, 2014, and 2019.
  • The data is seasonally adjusted in current euros.
  • The data is annualized by multiplying the quarterly figure by four.
  • All figures are rounded to the nearest hundredth.
  • The Eastern EU consists of Poland, Czech Republic, Romania, Hungary, Slovakia, Bulgaria, Croatia, Slovenia, Lithuania, Latvia, and Estonia.
  • The Northern EU consists of Sweden, Denmark, and Finland.
  • The Southern EU consists of Italy, Spain, Portugal, Greece, Cyprus, and Malta.
  • The Western EU consists of Germany, United Kingdom, France, Netherlands, Belgium, Austria, Ireland, and Luxembourg.

Details

The Northern EU had the smallest increase over the past five years with an annualized growth rate of 2.55%.  The Eastern EU had the largest growth with an annualized gain of 7.15%.

Over the past ten years, the Southern EU had the smallest growth with a 1.29% rise in GDP while the Eastern EU had the largest growth with a 5.77% rise in GDP.

The Northern EU saw the largest decrease in its growth rate between its annualized ten-year growth and its annualized five-year growth slowing its rate by 1.41 percentage points.  The Southern EU had the largest increase in its growth rate between its annualized ten-year growth and its annualized five-year growth raising its rate by 1.56 percentage points.

The Northern EU went from having a higher growth rate than each of the Southern and Western EU over the past ten years to a lower one over the past five years.  The Northern EU had the smallest range in annualized five-year growth rates with a low of 1.82% in Sweden to a high of 3.25% in Denmark.  Conversely, the Western EU had the greatest range in annualized five-year growth rates with a low of 1.75% in the United Kingdom to a high of 16.04% in Ireland.  Over the past ten years, the Northern EU had the smallest range in growth rates with a low of 3.24% in Finland to a high of 4.70% in Sweden.  The Southern EU on the other hand, had the greatest range of rates on a ten-year basis with a low of -2.26% in Greece to a high of 11.51% in Malta.

Sources

Eurostat.  2020.  "GDP and Main Components."  Accessed May 28, 2020.  https://appsso.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/nui/show.do?query=BOOKMARK_DS-406779_QID_68139601_UID_-3F171EB0&layout=TIME,C,X,0;GEO,L,Y,0;UNIT,L,Z,0;S_ADJ,L,Z,1;NA_ITEM,L,Z,2;INDICATORS,C,Z,3;&zSelection=DS-406779UNIT,CP_MEUR;DS-406779INDICATORS,OBS_FLAG;DS-406779S_ADJ,SCA;DS-406779NA_ITEM,B1GQ;&rankName1=UNIT_1_2_-1_2&rankName2=INDICATORS_1_2_-1_2&rankName3=NA-ITEM_1_2_-1_2&rankName4=S-ADJ_1_2_-1_2&rankName5=TIME_1_0_0_0&rankName6=GEO_1_2_0_1&sortC=ASC_-1_FIRST&rStp=&cStp=&rDCh=&cDCh=&rDM=true&cDM=true&footnes=false&empty=false&wai=false&time_mode=NONE&time_most_recent=false&lang=EN&cfo=%23%23%23%2C%23%23%23.%23%23%23.

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