Long-Term Per Capita GDP by EU and US State, Second Quarter 2019

Jan 1, 2020
Long-Term Per Capita Gross Domestic Product in EU and US States

The chart above shows the per capita annualized nominal gross domestic product (GDP) in each EU and US state as of the second quarter of 2019 in dollars, the change from five years ago, and the GDP ten years prior.  Currency rate fluctuations have not been kind to EU states over the past five years as most US states' per capita GDP zoomed past the per capita GDP of most EU states.

Findings

  • The difference between the state with the largest per capita GDP, Luxembourg, and the state with the smallest, Bulgaria, is $129,242.93 (up from $122,025.28 five years ago and up from $105,540.64 ten years ago).  Luxembourg and Bulgaria had the largest and smallest per capita GDP respectively both five and ten years ago.
  • Luxembourg has 14.86 times the per capita GDP that Bulgaria does.  The ratio of largest per capita GDP to smallest per capita GDP was down from 16.65 five years ago and down from 17.55 ten years ago.
  • The median per capita GDP in the 28 EU states is $29,636.44 (up from $28,078.39 five years ago and down from $32,929.96 ten years ago) and the mean $37,290.13 (up from $36,423.93 five years ago and up from $33,092.21 ten years ago).
  • The median per capita GDP in the 50 US states is $62,593.80 (up from $51,570.58 five years ago and up from $47,048.71 ten years ago) and the mean $64,278.35 (up from $54,202.73 five years ago and up from $49,392.12 ten years ago).
  • The median per capita GDP in the 78 EU and US states is $56,577.03 (up from $49,781.86 five years ago and up from $45,416.27 ten years ago) and the mean $54,590.27 (up from $47,820.59 five years ago and up from $43,540.87 ten years ago).
  • Sixty-three states (15 EU, 48 US) saw their per capita GDP rise in current dollars over the past five years while 15 (13 EU, 2 US) saw their per capita GDP drop.
  • Sixty-nine states (21 EU, 48 US) saw their per capita GDP rise in current dollars over the past ten years while nine (7 EU, 2 US) saw it drop.
  • All EU drops in per capita GDP, save for Cyprus's and Greece's ten-year drops are attributed to currency rate fluctuations.

Caveats

  • GDP data is from the second quarter of 2019, 2014, and 2009.
  • US census data is from 2000 and 2010, EU census data is from 2001 and 2011.
  • The data is seasonally adjusted in current dollars.
  • Euros are converted to dollars at an average exchange rate of 1.12 for the second quarter of 2019, 1.37 for the second quarter of 2014, and 1.36 for the second quarter of 2009 according to historic rates listed at the Federal Reserve (see source link below).
  • US data comes in an annualized format which the EU does not, thus EU data is annualized by multiplying the quarterly figure by four.
  • US growth rates may differ from those provided by the Bureau of Economic Analysis as the BEA's growth rates are based on chained dollars in conjunction with the chain index or the quality index for real GDP.  The growth rates listed here are based on nominal GDP.
  • All figures are rounded to the nearest hundredth.

Details

In absolute terms, Sweden saw the largest decrease over the past five years with a drop of $7,572.42.  Ireland had the largest growth with a gain of $25,507.15.  Over the past ten years, Greece had the largest decrease with a drop of $11,156.27 while North Dakota had the greatest increase with a gain of $35,789.37.

In relative terms, Greece had the largest decrease over the past five years with a 13.03% drop in per capita GDP while Ireland had the greatest increase with a 43.35% rise in per capita GDP.  Over the past ten years, Greece had the largest contraction with a 37.04% drop in per capita GDP while North Dakota had the largest growth with a 73.03% rise in per capita GDP.

There was one state (1 EU, 0 US) with a per capita GDP of over $80,000 ten years ago, 2 states (1 EU, 1 US) five years ago, and 8 states (2 EU, 6 US) now.  On the flip side, there were 55 states (24 EU, 31 US) with a GDP of less than $50,000 ten years ago, 41 states (21 EU, 20 US) five years ago, and 26 states (21 EU, 5 US) now.

Oregon moved up the most spots in rank surpassing 20 states going from having the 44th highest per capita GDP five years ago to the 24th highest now.  Conversely, Sweden fell the most spots in rank as it was bested by 29 states going from having the 11th largest per capita GDP to the 40th.  Over the past ten years, North Dakota rose the most in rank surpassing 22 states going from having the 27th largest per capita GDP to the 5th now, while the Netherlands dropped the most spots as it was bested by 26 states going from having the 19th largest per capita GDP to the 45th.

Ireland was the only EU state to surpass any US states, 12 in total, over the past five years.  However, 10 EU states were surpassed by a multitude of US states in the same time period.  Over the past ten years, Ireland was the only EU state to surpass US states while 13 EU states were surpassed by a plethora of US states.  This disparity is partially due to the rise of the dollar against the euro both over the course of the past five years and the past ten years.

Sources

Eurostat.  2019.  "GDP and Main Components."  Accessed December 23, 2019.  https://appsso.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/nui/show.do?query=BOOKMARK_DS-406779_QID_-2B92021B_UID_-3F171EB0&layout=TIME,C,X,0;GEO,L,Y,0;UNIT,L,Z,0;S_ADJ,L,Z,1;NA_ITEM,L,Z,2;INDICATORS,C,Z,3;&zSelection=DS-406779UNIT,CP_MEUR;DS-406779INDICATORS,OBS_FLAG;DS-406779S_ADJ,SCA;DS-406779NA_ITEM,B1GQ;&rankName1=UNIT_1_2_-1_2&rankName2=INDICATORS_1_2_-1_2&rankName3=NA-ITEM_1_2_-1_2&rankName4=S-ADJ_1_2_-1_2&rankName5=TIME_1_0_0_0&rankName6=GEO_1_2_0_1&sortC=ASC_-1_FIRST&rStp=&cStp=&rDCh=&cDCh=&rDM=true&cDM=true&footnes=false&empty=false&wai=false&time_mode=NONE&time_most_recent=false&lang=EN&cfo=%23%23%23%2C%23%23%23.%23%23%23.

Eurostat.  2017.  "Population change - Demographic balance and crude rates at national level."  Accessed December 11, 2017.  http://appsso.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/nui/show.do?query=BOOKMARK_DS-054722_QID_690C8C0A_UID_-3F171EB0&layout=TIME,C,X,0;GEO,L,Y,0;INDIC_DE,L,Z,0;INDICATORS,C,Z,1;&zSelection=DS-054722INDICATORS,OBS_FLAG;DS-054722INDIC_DE,JAN;&rankName1=INDICATORS_1_2_-1_2&rankName2=INDIC-DE_1_2_-1_2&rankName3=TIME_1_0_0_0&rankName4=GEO_1_2_0_1&sortC=ASC_-1_FIRST&rStp=&cStp=&rDCh=&cDCh=&rDM=true&cDM=true&footnes=false&empty=false&wai=false&time_mode=NONE&time_most_recent=false&lang=EN&cfo=%23%23%23%2C%23%23%23.%23%23%23.

Federal Reserve.  2019.  "Foreign Exchange Rates."  Accessed December 24, 2019.  https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/g5/.

US Bureau of Economic Analysis.  2019.  "GDP by State."  Accessed December 20, 2019.  https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gdp-state.

United States Census Bureau.  September 2012.  "United States Summary: 2010: Population and Housing Unit Counts."  Accessed January 23, 2018.  https://www.census.gov/prod/cen2010/cph-2-1.pdf.